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It is honestly becoming impossible to ignore the timing here. Every time leadership starts pushing for 100% in-office attendance after years of hybrid stability, it usually signals that the finance team is prepping for a rough earnings call. They want to shed headcount without the overhead of severance, so they turn the screws to make the environment unworkable for anyone with family obligations or long commutes. Expect the voluntary exits to climb, followed by the actual layoff notices once they see how many people actually jump ship.
You're definitely not imagining things. That strategy has been the industry standard for as long as I’ve been around. They know that by forcing the RTO mandate, they get a mix of two things: the people who will just quit out of frustration, and the people they can 'fire for cause' if they stop showing up. It’s a cynical way to trim the budget while keeping the books looking clean for the shareholders. Just keep your resume updated and stay quiet—the writing is clearly on the wall if you know where to look.