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The calibration process at PACCAR has always felt like a black box, but this year the anxiety is palpable. When managers start getting tight-lipped about Q4 goals, it usually means the budget cuts are coming from the top down. Don't waste your energy trying to read their faces. Focus on documenting your measurable contributions and keeping your portfolio updated. If they are looking for excuses to trim the headcount, make sure your work speaks for itself so you aren't an easy target when they start looking at those performance tiers.
I've seen this exact movie before. They call it 'calibration' or 'performance management' to keep HR happy, but we all know it’s just a way to prune the payroll without triggering massive severance obligations. If you're sensing that shift in tone during your one-on-ones, it’s time to start quietly looking elsewhere. Loyalty doesn't mean much when the company decides it’s time to pivot headcount goals to satisfy Wall Street. Stay professional, but stop over-delivering for a system that’s already decided who it’s letting go.