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It's hard to say for sure without official word, but investment banks often do quietly adjust headcount in specific regions based on business needs or shifting market dynamics. Sometimes these adjustments are framed as 'restructuring' or 'optimization' rather than outright layoffs. The focus on India might simply reflect a strategic decision for that particular market, not necessarily a sign of wider global trouble.
I've seen those posts too. It's definitely concerning when there's so much smoke without a fire from the company. Historically, these kinds of rumors can sometimes be overblown or a bit of a coordinated push from disgruntled employees or competitors. However, if multiple sources are reporting it, it's worth keeping an eye on, especially if it starts to align with any global economic slowdown talk.