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Hey, I'm in a similar boat, though I've been here a bit longer. It's definitely unnerving with all the restructuring rumors. From what I've heard through the grapevine, severance at IBM often looks at a base number of weeks plus an additional amount per year of service. For your tenure, I'd expect maybe 10-15 weeks total as a starting point, but that's pure speculation. Definitely try to connect with anyone who's gone through this recently if you can, even informally. It's good you're thinking ahead though, knowledge is power in these situations.
Honestly, I wouldn't put too much stock in what people hear second-hand. Severance packages are highly individualized and depend on so many factors – your specific role, level, and sometimes even the specific business unit that's making cuts. While it's wise to be prepared, the exact details can change rapidly. Focus on your performance and network internally for now. If something official does happen, HR will provide the concrete details. Don't let the whispers create unnecessary stress.